{
  "_id": "6a4cd80f1bd53d33d6ac281c",
  "Package": "BINtools",
  "Title": "Bayesian BIN (Bias, Information, Noise) Model of Forecasting",
  "Version": "0.2.0",
  "Authors@R": "c(person(given = \"Ville\",\nfamily = \"Satopää\",\nrole = c(\"aut\", \"cre\"),\nemail = \"ville.satopaa@gmail.com\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3787-7303\")),\nperson(given = \"Marat\",\nfamily = \"Salikhov\",\nrole = \"aut\"),\nperson(given = \"Elvira\",\nfamily = \"Moreno\",\nrole = \"aut\"))",
  "Description": "A recently proposed Bayesian BIN model disentangles the\nunderlying processes that enable forecasters and forecasting\nmethods to improve, decomposing forecasting accuracy into three\ncomponents: bias, partial information, and noise. By describing\nthe differences between two groups of forecasters, the model\nallows the user to carry out useful inference, such as\ncalculating the posterior probabilities of the treatment\nreducing bias, diminishing noise, or increasing information. It\nalso provides insight into how much tamping down bias and noise\nin judgment or enhancing the efficient extraction of valid\ninformation from the environment improves forecasting accuracy.\nThis package provides easy access to the BIN model. For further\ninformation refer to the paper Ville A. Satopää, Marat\nSalikhov, Philip E. Tetlock, and Barbara Mellers (2021) \"Bias,\nInformation, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting\"\n<doi:10.1287/mnsc.2020.3882>.",
  "License": "GPL-3",
  "Encoding": "UTF-8",
  "RoxygenNote": "7.1.2",
  "Biarch": "true",
  "SystemRequirements": "GNU make",
  "VignetteBuilder": "knitr",
  "NeedsCompilation": "yes",
  "Packaged": {
    "Date": "2026-07-07 10:17:51 UTC",
    "User": "root"
  },
  "Author": "Ville Satopää [aut, cre]\n(<https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3787-7303>), Marat Salikhov\n[aut], Elvira Moreno [aut]",
  "Maintainer": "Ville Satopää <ville.satopaa@gmail.com>",
  "Config/pak/sysreqs": "make libicu-dev",
  "Repository": "https://satopaa.r-universe.dev",
  "Date/Publication": "2022-04-04 11:40:02 UTC",
  "RemoteUrl": "https://github.com/cran/BINtools",
  "RemoteRef": "HEAD",
  "RemoteSha": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
  "_user": "satopaa",
  "_type": "src",
  "_file": "BINtools_0.2.0.tar.gz",
  "_fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/ad15e21adbb7df1a98086e9481cc12f852f15cca199bcb65962d2399ed326a2b",
  "_filesize": 187587,
  "_sha256": "ad15e21adbb7df1a98086e9481cc12f852f15cca199bcb65962d2399ed326a2b",
  "_expires": "2026-10-15T10:42:22.000Z",
  "_created": "2026-07-07T10:17:51.000Z",
  "_published": "2026-07-07T10:42:23.621Z",
  "_jobs": [
    {
      "job": 85592942554,
      "time": 501,
      "config": "linux-devel-arm64",
      "r": "4.7.0",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135054347"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942593,
      "time": 589,
      "config": "linux-devel-x86_64",
      "r": "4.7.0",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135086997"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942575,
      "time": 513,
      "config": "linux-release-arm64",
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135059074"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942638,
      "time": 517,
      "config": "linux-release-x86_64",
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135059095"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942562,
      "time": 278,
      "config": "macos-oldrel-arm64",
      "r": "4.5.3",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8134971620"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942708,
      "time": 1165,
      "config": "macos-oldrel-x86_64",
      "r": "4.5.3",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135294927"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942559,
      "time": 318,
      "config": "macos-release-arm64",
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8134986414"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942597,
      "time": 710,
      "config": "macos-release-x86_64",
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135132145"
    },
    {
      "job": 85590538877,
      "time": 767,
      "config": "source",
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8134868042"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942513,
      "time": 193,
      "config": "wasm-release",
      "r": "4.6.0",
      "check": "FAIL",
      "artifact": ""
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942563,
      "time": 758,
      "config": "windows-devel",
      "r": "4.7.0",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135149492"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942534,
      "time": 749,
      "config": "windows-oldrel",
      "r": "4.5.3",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135146571"
    },
    {
      "job": 85592942549,
      "time": 737,
      "config": "windows-release",
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "check": "OK",
      "artifact": "8135141851"
    }
  ],
  "_host": "GitHub-Actions",
  "_buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069",
  "_status": "success",
  "_upstream": "https://github.com/cran/BINtools",
  "_commit": {
    "id": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
    "author": "Ville Satopää <ville.satopaa@gmail.com>",
    "committer": "cran-robot <csardi.gabor+cran@gmail.com>",
    "message": "version 0.2.0\n",
    "time": 1649072402
  },
  "_maintainer": {
    "name": "Ville Satopää",
    "email": "ville.satopaa@gmail.com",
    "login": "satopaa",
    "description": "",
    "uuid": 2185253,
    "orcid": "0000-0002-3787-7303"
  },
  "_distro": "resolute",
  "_registered": true,
  "_dependencies": [
    {
      "package": "R",
      "version": ">= 3.4.0",
      "role": "Depends"
    },
    {
      "package": "BH",
      "version": ">= 1.66.0",
      "role": "LinkingTo"
    },
    {
      "package": "Rcpp",
      "version": ">= 0.12.0",
      "role": "LinkingTo"
    },
    {
      "package": "RcppEigen",
      "version": ">= 0.3.3.3.0",
      "role": "LinkingTo"
    },
    {
      "package": "RcppParallel",
      "version": ">= 5.0.1",
      "role": "LinkingTo"
    },
    {
      "package": "rstan",
      "version": ">= 2.18.1",
      "role": "LinkingTo"
    },
    {
      "package": "StanHeaders",
      "version": ">= 2.18.0",
      "role": "LinkingTo"
    },
    {
      "package": "methods",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "Rcpp",
      "version": ">= 0.12.0",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "rstan",
      "version": ">= 2.18.1",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "dplyr",
      "version": ">= 1.0.2",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "tibble",
      "version": ">= 3.0.3",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "stringi",
      "version": ">= 1.4.6",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "mvtnorm",
      "version": ">= 1.1.1",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "combinat",
      "version": ">= 0.0.8",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "rstantools",
      "role": "Imports"
    },
    {
      "package": "testthat",
      "role": "Suggests"
    },
    {
      "package": "knitr",
      "role": "Suggests"
    },
    {
      "package": "rmarkdown",
      "role": "Suggests"
    },
    {
      "package": "pacman",
      "version": ">= 0.5.1",
      "role": "Suggests"
    },
    {
      "package": "RcppParallel",
      "version": ">= 5.0.1",
      "role": "Suggests"
    }
  ],
  "_owner": "cran",
  "_selfowned": true,
  "_usedby": 0,
  "_updates": [],
  "_tags": [],
  "_stars": 0,
  "_contributors": [
    {
      "user": "satopaa",
      "count": 2,
      "uuid": 2185253
    }
  ],
  "_userbio": {
    "uuid": 2185253,
    "type": "user",
    "name": "Ville Satopaa",
    "followers": 3
  },
  "_downloads": {
    "count": 412,
    "source": "https://cranlogs.r-pkg.org/downloads/total/last-month/BINtools"
  },
  "_searchresults": 6,
  "_topics": [
    "cpp"
  ],
  "_rbuild": "4.6.1",
  "_assets": [
    "extra/BINtools.html",
    "extra/citation.cff",
    "extra/citation.html",
    "extra/citation.json",
    "extra/citation.txt",
    "extra/contents.json",
    "extra/NEWS.html",
    "extra/NEWS.txt",
    "extra/readme.html",
    "extra/readme.md",
    "manual.pdf"
  ],
  "_realowner": "satopaa",
  "_cranurl": false,
  "_releases": [
    {
      "version": "0.1.0",
      "date": "2021-06-10"
    },
    {
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2022-04-04"
    }
  ],
  "_exports": [
    "complete_summary",
    "estimate_BIN",
    "simulate_data"
  ],
  "_help": [
    {
      "page": "BINtools-package",
      "title": "The 'BINtools' package.",
      "topics": [
        "BINtools-package",
        "BINtools"
      ]
    },
    {
      "page": "complete_summary",
      "title": "Summary",
      "topics": [
        "complete_summary"
      ]
    },
    {
      "page": "estimate_BIN",
      "title": "Estimate a BIN (Bias, Information, Noise) model",
      "topics": [
        "estimate_BIN"
      ]
    },
    {
      "page": "simulate_data",
      "title": "Simulate Data",
      "topics": [
        "simulate_data"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "_readme": "https://github.com/cran/BINtools/raw/HEAD/README.md",
  "_rundeps": [
    "abind",
    "backports",
    "BH",
    "callr",
    "checkmate",
    "cli",
    "combinat",
    "cpp11",
    "desc",
    "distributional",
    "dplyr",
    "farver",
    "generics",
    "ggplot2",
    "glue",
    "gridExtra",
    "gtable",
    "inline",
    "isoband",
    "labeling",
    "lifecycle",
    "loo",
    "magrittr",
    "matrixStats",
    "mvtnorm",
    "numDeriv",
    "otel",
    "pillar",
    "pkgbuild",
    "pkgconfig",
    "posterior",
    "processx",
    "ps",
    "QuickJSR",
    "R6",
    "RColorBrewer",
    "Rcpp",
    "RcppEigen",
    "RcppParallel",
    "rlang",
    "rstan",
    "rstantools",
    "S7",
    "scales",
    "StanHeaders",
    "stringi",
    "tensorA",
    "tibble",
    "tidyselect",
    "utf8",
    "vctrs",
    "viridisLite",
    "withr"
  ],
  "_sysdeps": [
    {
      "shlib": "libstdc++",
      "package": "libstdc++6",
      "source": "gcc",
      "version": "16-20260322-1ubuntu1",
      "name": "c++",
      "homepage": "http://gcc.gnu.org/",
      "description": "GNU Standard C++ Library v3"
    }
  ],
  "_vignettes": [
    {
      "source": "BINtools_vignette.Rmd",
      "filename": "BINtools_vignette.html",
      "title": "BINtools",
      "engine": "knitr::rmarkdown",
      "headings": [
        "Introduction to BINtools",
        "Functions and cases",
        "MM: Both groups with many forecasters",
        "Setting up the simulation environment",
        "Generating a synthetic data set",
        "Estimating the BIN model",
        "Analyzing the resulting BIN model",
        "Parameter estimates",
        "Posterior inferences",
        "Control vs. Treatment comparative analysis",
        "Maximum achievable contribution",
        "M1: Control group with many forecasters. Treatment group with one forecaster.",
        "1M: Control group with one forecaster. Treatment group with many forecasters.",
        "11: Both groups with one forecaster",
        "M0: One group with many forecasters",
        "10: One group with one forecaster"
      ],
      "created": "2021-06-10 07:20:12",
      "modified": "2021-06-10 07:20:12",
      "commits": 1
    }
  ],
  "_score": 2.6989700043360187,
  "_indexed": true,
  "_nocasepkg": "bintools",
  "_universes": [
    "satopaa"
  ],
  "_binaries": [
    {
      "r": "4.7.0",
      "os": "linux",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:25:08.000Z",
      "distro": "resolute",
      "arch": "aarch64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/8462a9fd23ecb070c0091baef84b6db1f4be41edfb7bb29323080ea37f00a91e",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.7.0",
      "os": "linux",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:25:06.000Z",
      "distro": "resolute",
      "arch": "x86_64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/330c18a9ec47894c3c71c1aaebd1d40c4f20fc64dc2cfe73ace108f22022e8c3",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "os": "linux",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:25:16.000Z",
      "distro": "resolute",
      "arch": "aarch64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/e6a32a54d40d0783b951d5f1271ebdf5e95ff6648ac08e79b7523b7c173cc39e",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "os": "linux",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:24:47.000Z",
      "distro": "resolute",
      "arch": "x86_64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/378694ca80d4b0b1d37fe366068788cdeb3c0dfc9025c0fe89d70601a20b477f",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.5.3",
      "os": "mac",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:23:49.000Z",
      "arch": "aarch64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/fea009d3358ab0c1d8b58272146ef922f5f59b11eafbbe4d1ea2bdc2f16f0097",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.5.3",
      "os": "mac",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:27:23.000Z",
      "arch": "x86_64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/8637efd070891395922ba9570906d651042d228ebaf0dd711c4e8519acb00d94",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "os": "mac",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:24:06.000Z",
      "arch": "aarch64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/7610b1c48f4f9f27f4b7f3100d0718ef4aa00850aa2023bc912e2057c0930cef",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "os": "mac",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:25:03.000Z",
      "arch": "x86_64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/178d2148ef764943b606482cb885d6d794c10a0785d4dbb460141d5eccd4b71e",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.7.0",
      "os": "win",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:24:38.000Z",
      "arch": "x86_64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/ef807e8de5236dbada3d3944701fd7f82869433ab241e9f17215377790a5b503",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.5.3",
      "os": "win",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:24:08.000Z",
      "arch": "x86_64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/1ea62c8ae240ee1a957e9d698bfa764fb9ede594c8ef21d946fd0ebba16b1875",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    },
    {
      "r": "4.6.1",
      "os": "win",
      "version": "0.2.0",
      "date": "2026-07-07T10:24:07.000Z",
      "arch": "x86_64",
      "commit": "95b3ff5f661bdfd60c959127919a8f0b621b0062",
      "fileid": "https://r2.ropensci.org/fe62ed2d99fbc827da367b908da11c1d3eae10f375fcc5718742114c9ffb9865",
      "status": "success",
      "check": "OK",
      "buildurl": "https://github.com/r-universe/satopaa/actions/runs/28858369069"
    }
  ]
}